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| What will be the impact of Imran Khan's arrest on PTI and Pakistani politics? |
After the session court of the federal capital Islamabad sentenced Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaaf chairman and former prime minister Imran Khan to three years in prison in the Tosha Khana case, his arrest from Zaman Park took place on an urgent basis.
Although the decision to arrest the former prime minister was not a surprise because especially after May 9, there was an impression that he could be arrested at any time.
In this regard, Imran Khan himself had repeatedly said that he will be arrested and he is ready for it. But after the decision of the Sessions Court, the news of Imran Khan's immediate arrest in the media definitely shocked many people.
It seemed as if the decision and the arrest happened at the same time, but after his arrest, many questions have arisen regarding the political situation in the country.
What will happen next? Imran Khan's arrest, what will be the impact on Imran Khan's politics and the future of his party? What will be the benefit of this arrest to PDM parties? Will PDM parties face backlash from PTI voters and supporters? And is there a fear that fingers will rise on the establishment with this arrest?
There are few days left for the term of the National Assembly of Pakistan to end and thus the ground is going to be set for the general elections.
What will happen next?
Senior analyst Rasool Bakhsh Raees expressed surprise at Imran Khan's sudden and immediate arrest after the court verdict.
"It seems that the arrest came first and the decision came later," he says. That is, so much haste has been shown.
Rasool Bakhsh Raees commented and said that the arrest of Imran Khan makes a joke in history and around the world. This is a question that every servant must find an answer to.
Senior journalist and analyst Salman Ghani says, "Imran Khan's arrest was an inscription on the wall." There is a journey of circles, which continues inside Pakistan.
They say that Imran Khan's case was that he was not ready to adopt political behavior. The consequences of which they have to suffer.
What will be the political future of Imran Khan?
To what extent will this arrest affect Imran Khan's personality and politics? In response to this question, Rasool Bakhsh Rais says that Imran Khan's popularity will increase with today's arrest.
"They will be more powerful and voters will connect with them more."
While Salman Ghani's opinion is different. They say that Imran Khan had described his opposition politicians as thieves and robbers in an interview just two days ago. Now, after this court decision, he has stood in the same line. He has been declared ineligible at the judicial level.
He says that he will not be able to take over the leadership of the party from now on. This arrest is not a new thing, the Prime Minister has been arrested before.
Senior analyst Zaigham Khan believes that the scope of Imran Khan's politics will shrink further in the coming time.
He says that 'Imran Khan and PTI are caught in the same legal problems that other political parties have faced before.
Imran Khan himself has been entangling other parties in legal matters. Now the same issues have turned around and returned to them.
He commented that if we do not talk about the past and look ahead, at a time when the elections are approaching, after May 9, the ground is getting narrower on PTI.
What will be the reaction of PTI, who will take over the leadership of the party?
Will the arrest of Imran Khan bring the PTI workers to the streets, moreover who will take over the leadership of the party in the absence of Imran Khan, and will the party workers trust him as much as they trust Imran Khan?
Senior analyst Aamir Zia says in response to the above questions that the reaction of PTI will have to be seen. As long as Imran Khan is in jail, will Shah Mehmood lead the party in his place and will Shah Mehmood get support from the people and PTI supporters in Imran's absence, these are important issues and will determine the future. It will happen with these words.'
Aamir Zia further says that it is also to be seen whether Imran Khan can get any relief from the Supreme Court after this decision or not. If there is no relief from there, then the situation will get worse.
As far as the fact that people will come out of their homes, protest? I don't think so.
He said that people will be angry and saddened by the arrest of Imran Khan, but they will not come to the streets to protest. One of the major reasons for this is the breakdown of PTI's organizational structure.
If the elections are held on time.
Imran Khan's arrest comes at a time when the country is heading towards fresh elections.
It has become clear from the statements made by the government that the assembly will be dissolved before the term.
If the elections are held within 90 days and Imran Khan is also under arrest, what will be the performance of PTI in the elections and how can it benefit the politics of PDM?
Prof. Rasool Bakhsh Raees such elections but while raising the question, they say that the kind of election that is being held, this is not the election, a political party is being broken, and the candidates are being harassed.
Tell the world what you want that a clean and transparent election is going to be held, but the world is watching.
Zaigham Khan believes that the head and family of a political party are very important in Pakistan, if the head is not there, the political party will suffer.
We have many observations of him in the past. When the leadership of PML-N and Pakistan People's Party was out of the country due to difficulties, there was an alternative leadership in the form of a family member in whom the party workers expressed confidence and considered him as an alternative to their leader, on the contrary, PT The additional difficulty for I is that there is no leader within the party who can be seen as an alternative to Imran Khan or whom the workers can trust.'
Aamir Zia believes that whether there will be a 'call' in the election is important. If the elections are held within 90 days, will the voters turn out in favor of PTI? If it does not come out, where will it go?
"I think that voters will turn out less and the vote turnout will remain low."
Salman Ghani says a new game has started in national politics. Now it is to be seen whether political stability will be created or the politics of further anarchy will continue.
Will the role of the establishment be questioned?
Although the arrest of Imran Khan is in the category of the Tosha Khana case, but in the context of the events of May 9, what does this arrest mean for the establishment?
In response to this question, Professor Rasool Bakhsh Rais says that the alliance and establishment of 13 parties are currently on the same page. What is happening with Imran Khan, people think that it is all because of that one page.
Maulana Fazlur Rahman can also be included in this.
Regarding this, Zaigham Khan says that after the events of May 9, the grip of the establishment has become tighter, and the shadow of the establishment on politics has become very deep.
"The new legislation shows that the scope of the establishment has been greatly expanded so that the role of the establishment is going to be very decisive in the coming months."
While Amir Zia believes that "all parties want the umbrella of the establishment." If it is seen that this arrest will have any effect on the popularity of the institution, then I think that institutions are not meant for public popularity.